Model line
Pacific −0.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pacific 53%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Pacific home
47%Win probability53%
The model makes Pacific a 0.8-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Mary's offense vs Pacific defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Pacific offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Pacific O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
