Model line
Santa Clara −17.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 97%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Santa Clara a 17.7-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Denver offense vs Santa Clara defense
| Denver O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#118 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 53.6#79 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 14.3#29 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 29.8#207 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 34.1#203 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 7.9#49 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 40.2#361 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 52.6#145 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 36.8#32 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 77.1#31 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#198 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs Denver defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | Denver D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #11869.4 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #34456.0 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #35513.0 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #28932.8 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #23036.8 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #3565.0 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #742.4 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #33956.6 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #33636.7 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #25937.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Denver
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Dakota328 | L 67–83 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 80–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 82–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | South Dakota270 | W 90–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 76–83 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
