Model line
Saint Mary's −16.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 95%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 16.0-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Francisco offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs San Francisco defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
