Model line
San Francisco −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 72%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes San Francisco a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pacific offense vs San Francisco defense
| Pacific O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs Pacific defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
