Model line
Santa Clara −16.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 96%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Santa Clara a 16.5-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Diego offense vs Santa Clara defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs San Diego defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
