Model line
Denver −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Denver 62%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Denver home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Denver a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Francisco offense vs Denver defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Denver D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #11869.4 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #34456.0 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #35513.0 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #28932.8 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #23036.8 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #3565.0 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #742.4 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #33956.6 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #33636.7 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #25937.0 |
Denver offense vs San Francisco defense
| Denver O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#118 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 53.6#79 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 14.3#29 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 29.8#207 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 34.1#203 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 7.9#49 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 40.2#361 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 52.6#145 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 36.8#32 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 77.1#31 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#198 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
Denver
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Dakota328 | L 67–83 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 80–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 82–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | South Dakota270 | W 90–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 76–83 |
