Model line
San Diego −8.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 83%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
San Diego home
18%Win probability83%
The model makes San Diego a 8.9-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Francisco offense vs San Diego defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs San Francisco defense
| San Diego O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
