Model line
Pacific −12.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pacific 91%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Pacific home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Pacific a 12.5-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Denver offense vs Pacific defense
| Denver O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#118 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 53.6#79 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 14.3#29 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 29.8#207 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 34.1#203 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 7.9#49 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 40.2#361 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 52.6#145 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 36.8#32 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 77.1#31 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#198 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Pacific offense vs Denver defense
| Pacific O | Stat | Denver D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #11869.4 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #34456.0 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #35513.0 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #28932.8 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #23036.8 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #3565.0 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #742.4 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #33956.6 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #33636.7 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #25937.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Denver
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Dakota328 | L 67–83 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 80–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 82–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | South Dakota270 | W 90–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 76–83 |
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
