Model line
Santa Clara −0.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 53%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Portland home
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Santa Clara a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Santa Clara offense vs Portland defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Portland offense vs Santa Clara defense
| Portland O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
