Model line
Santa Clara −13.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 93%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Santa Clara a 13.9-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pacific offense vs Santa Clara defense
| Pacific O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs Pacific defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
