Model line
Denver −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Denver 64%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Denver home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Denver a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Portland offense vs Denver defense
| Portland O | Stat | Denver D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #11869.4 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #34456.0 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #35513.0 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #28932.8 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #23036.8 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #3565.0 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #742.4 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #33956.6 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #33636.7 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #25937.0 |
Denver offense vs Portland defense
| Denver O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#118 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 53.6#79 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 14.3#29 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 29.8#207 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 34.1#203 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 7.9#49 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 40.2#361 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 52.6#145 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 36.8#32 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 77.1#31 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#198 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
Denver
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Dakota328 | L 67–83 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 80–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 82–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | South Dakota270 | W 90–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 76–83 |
