Model line
Portland −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Portland 78%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Portland home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Portland a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Francisco offense vs Portland defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Portland offense vs San Francisco defense
| Portland O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
