Model line
San Diego −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 89%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
San Diego home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes San Diego a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Denver offense vs San Diego defense
| Denver O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#118 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 53.6#79 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 14.3#29 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 29.8#207 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 34.1#203 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 7.9#49 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 40.2#361 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 52.6#145 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 36.8#32 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 77.1#31 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#198 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs Denver defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Denver D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #11869.4 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #34456.0 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #35513.0 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #28932.8 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #23036.8 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #3565.0 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #742.4 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #33956.6 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #33636.7 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #25937.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Denver
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Dakota328 | L 67–83 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 80–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 82–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | South Dakota270 | W 90–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 76–83 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
