Model line
Portland −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Portland 69%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Portland home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Portland a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pacific offense vs Portland defense
| Pacific O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Portland offense vs Pacific defense
| Portland O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
