Model line
Santa Clara −14.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 94%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Santa Clara a 14.4-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Francisco offense vs Santa Clara defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs San Francisco defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
