Model line
Saint Mary's −8.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 82%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Denver home
82%Win probability19%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 8.5-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Mary's offense vs Denver defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Denver D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #11869.4 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #34456.0 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #35513.0 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #28932.8 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #23036.8 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #3565.0 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #742.4 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #33956.6 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #33636.7 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #25937.0 |
Denver offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Denver O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#118 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 53.6#79 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 14.3#29 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 29.8#207 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 34.1#203 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 7.9#49 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 40.2#361 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 52.6#145 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 36.8#32 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 77.1#31 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#198 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
Denver
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Dakota328 | L 67–83 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 80–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 82–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | South Dakota270 | W 90–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 76–83 |
