Model line
Portland −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Portland 73%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Portland home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Portland a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pepperdine offense vs Portland defense
| Pepperdine O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#122 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 47.6#322 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 18.3#289 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 29.1#233 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 33.8#218 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 10.7#285 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 56.2#84 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 48.0#311 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 31.4#311 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 75.8#59 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#187 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Portland offense vs Pepperdine defense
| Portland O | Stat | Pepperdine D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #12269.4 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #30554.2 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #18816.5 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #31834.0 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #3528.5 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #2917.5 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #28656.1 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #30854.9 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #28435.5 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #15340.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pepperdine
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Portland181 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Washington St.131 | W 88–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Seattle115 | L 80–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 73–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Portland181 | W 95–87 |
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
