Model line
Saint Mary's −15.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 95%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 15.3-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Diego offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs San Diego defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
