Model line
Saint Mary's −16.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 95%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 16.0-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Princeton offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Princeton O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#343 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 49.6#261 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 17.1#211 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 27.2#290 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 34.6#195 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 10.3#262 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 55.0#114 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 48.6#296 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 33.9#180 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 74.8#90 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#79 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Princeton defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Princeton D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #34364.5 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #21352.0 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #32614.3 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #8728.5 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #15234.0 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #3336.4 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #11750.1 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #32255.7 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #3731.1 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #11441.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Princeton
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Yale145 | L 53–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Dartmouth304 | W 82–61 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Harvard135 | L 56–58 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Brown229 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Columbia202 | L 65–75 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
