Model line
Saint Mary's −13.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 92%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 13.1-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Harvard offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Harvard O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9#357 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 53.2#93 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 17.4#227 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 26.8#303 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 25.7#359 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 7.4#24 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 56.1#87 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 54.0#85 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 34.7#137 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 80.8#1 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#166 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Harvard defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Harvard D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #35763.9 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #12150.4 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #13817.1 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #7328.2 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #1726.6 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #16351.7 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #15951.4 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #9232.6 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #21138.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Harvard
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Penn123 | L 60–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Columbia202 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Penn123 | L 61–64 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Princeton155 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Cornell196 | W 73–54 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
