HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cal St. Bakersfield · #286 · BW · 0–0San Diego · #157 · WCC · 0–0Tue, Dec 22 · 4:00 PM ETESPN+Jenny Craig Pavilion · San Diego, CA
Model line
San Diego −13.3
Win probability
San Diego 92%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
San Diego home
8%Win probability92%

The model makes San Diego a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs San Diego defense

Cal St. Bakersfield OStatSan Diego D
72.6#14Tempo#16168.8
45.7#352eFG%#32354.7
18.9#315TOV%#5518.9
30.4#183ORB%#32734.5
42.2#27FT rate#28238.8
9.1#150Block%#2927.5
44.6#339Assist%#30457.3
46.6#3362P%#35658.5
29.0#3533P%#10332.7
73.8#140FT%—
28.9#3563PA rate#16040.1

San Diego offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense

San Diego OStatCal St. Bakersfield D
68.8#161Tempo#1472.6
51.2#185eFG%#29954.0
17.5#237TOV%#10417.9
28.1#265ORB%#34835.6
25.8#358FT rate#33142.6
10.1#248Block%#1913.6
59.1#40Assist%#23154.2
50.8#2202P%#27353.9
34.6#1433P%#30036.0
74.7#95FT%—
43.7#983PA rate#19739.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Sat, Mar 7ACal Poly159L 76–108
Thu, Mar 5HCal St. Northridge190L 84–86
Sat, Feb 28HLong Beach St.264L 87–88
Thu, Feb 26AUC San Diego102L 72–84
Sat, Feb 21HCal St. Fullerton213L 80–88

San Diego

Fri, Mar 6NSeattle115L 56–58
Thu, Mar 5NLoyola Marymount136W 66–62
Sat, Feb 28APortland181L 74–87
Wed, Feb 25AOregon St.93L 82–92
Sat, Feb 21HLoyola Marymount136L 65–77