Model line
Arizona St. −16.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 95%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Arizona St. a 16.0-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Diego offense vs Arizona St. defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs San Diego defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
