Model line
Pacific −15.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pacific 95%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Pacific home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Pacific a 15.4-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs Pacific defense
| Southern O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Pacific offense vs Southern defense
| Pacific O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
