Model line
Saint Mary's −21.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 21.3-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iona offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Iona O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#171 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 51.9#151 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 17.2#216 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 27.8#274 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 29.3#326 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 11.1#307 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 53.7#143 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 51.2#204 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 35.1#108 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 70.7#248 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#48 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Iona defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Iona D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #17168.5 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #6348.9 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #17916.6 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #21031.2 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #4028.8 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #2538.1 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #29456.5 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #13651.0 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #2530.6 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #13540.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iona
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Sacred Heart310 | L 80–91 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Manhattan331 | W 69–65 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Rider355 | W 80–58 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Merrimack211 | L 86–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Saint Peter's298 | W 72–64 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
