Model line
New Mexico St. −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico St. 78%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
New Mexico St. home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes New Mexico St. a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pacific offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Pacific O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
New Mexico St. offense vs Pacific defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
