Model line
New Mexico −9.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 83%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes New Mexico a 9.0-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Mary's offense vs New Mexico defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
