Model line
Portland −11.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Portland 89%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Portland home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Portland a 11.7-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lamar offense vs Portland defense
| Lamar O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#305 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 47.8#317 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 18.1#279 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 35.7#34 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 27.9#343 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 8.5#101 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 55.4#105 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 47.0#332 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 32.9#236 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 70.7#249 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#297 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Portland offense vs Lamar defense
| Portland O | Stat | Lamar D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #30565.8 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #15150.9 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #13017.3 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #12829.4 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #34744.4 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #3112.7 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #30857.7 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #8949.7 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #26435.3 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #24937.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lamar
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Houston Christian253 | L 53–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Incarnate Word302 | L 60–72 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Nicholls St.287 | L 52–53 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 71–77 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 65–70 |
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
