Model line
Saint Mary's −13.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 93%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 13.7-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico St. offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| New Mexico St. O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#236 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 48.5#303 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 15.0#65 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 32.5#105 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 34.9#185 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 8.1#68 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 49.3#259 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 48.5#297 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 32.4#262 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 73.5#153 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#196 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs New Mexico St. defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | New Mexico St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #23667.2 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #5648.7 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #30814.7 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #17730.3 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #34644.2 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #2029.0 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #6147.8 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #5948.8 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #8532.4 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #11641.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | L 61–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Jacksonville St.197 | W 68–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 79–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | W 77–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 85–86 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
