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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Florida Gulf Coast · #275 · ASun · 0–0Pepperdine · #154 · WCC · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 8:00 PM ETESPN+Firestone Fieldhouse · Malibu, CA
Model line
Pepperdine −12.5
Win probability
Pepperdine 91%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Pepperdine home
9%Win probability91%

The model makes Pepperdine a 12.5-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Pepperdine defense

Florida Gulf Coast OStatPepperdine D
69.1#141Tempo#12269.4
52.0#145eFG%#30554.2
15.9#130TOV%#18816.5
31.1#162ORB%#31834.0
29.1#331FT rate#3528.5
8.6#109Block%#2917.5
52.0#191Assist%#28656.1
53.3#1162P%#30854.9
33.2#2163P%#28435.5
72.1#202FT%—
38.4#2023PA rate#15340.3

Pepperdine offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense

Pepperdine OStatFlorida Gulf Coast D
69.4#122Tempo#14169.1
47.6#322eFG%#27953.4
18.3#289TOV%#18416.5
29.1#233ORB%#7128.2
33.8#218FT rate#26738.3
10.7#285Block%#8311.1
56.2#84Assist%#20953.3
48.0#3112P%#25853.6
31.4#3113P%#27235.4
75.8#59FT%—
39.2#1873PA rate#2246.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Florida Gulf Coast

Sat, Mar 7NCentral Arkansas177L 63–73
Fri, Mar 6NLipscomb199W 77–53
Wed, Mar 4NNorth Alabama315W 69–58
Sat, Feb 28AStetson267L 63–78
Thu, Feb 26ANorth Florida321L 70–76

Pepperdine

Thu, Mar 5NPortland181L 68–77
Sat, Feb 28HWashington St.131W 88–79
Wed, Feb 25HSeattle115L 80–87
Sat, Feb 21AOregon St.93L 73–83
Wed, Feb 18APortland181W 95–87