Model line
Santa Clara −17.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 97%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Santa Clara a 17.3-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fresno St. offense vs Santa Clara defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs Fresno St. defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
