Model line
San Diego −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 68%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
San Diego home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes San Diego a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Hawaii offense vs San Diego defense
| Hawaii O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#17 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 52.0#146 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 18.8#313 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 31.3#151 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 41.4#40 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 8.7#122 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 49.8#244 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 54.9#60 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 31.7#290 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 73.5#152 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#174 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs Hawaii defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Hawaii D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #1772.4 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #1946.8 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #16516.8 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #1325.3 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #20035.6 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #1509.8 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #439.7 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #3747.5 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #1230.3 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #35232.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Hawaii
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Arkansas23 | L 78–97 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | UC Irvine109 | W 71–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | W 78–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 75–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 93–74 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
