Model line
Saint Mary's −15.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 95%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 15.5-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Hofstra offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Hofstra O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#319 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 51.4#177 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 16.1#144 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 34.7#55 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 31.6#266 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 10.7#283 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 48.3#278 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 48.1#305 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 37.1#25 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 75.8#55 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#118 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Hofstra defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Hofstra D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #31965.4 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #1646.3 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #29414.9 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #20231.0 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #17935.1 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #11810.4 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #25455.0 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #744.7 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #7532.3 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #12241.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Hofstra
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | St Joseph's LI | W 97–51 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Alabama16 | L 70–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Monmouth193 | W 75–69 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Towson179 | W 68–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | William & Mary201 | W 92–61 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
