Model line
Stanford −16.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Stanford 96%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Stanford home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Stanford a 16.4-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Portland offense vs Stanford defense
| Portland O | Stat | Stanford D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #20467.9 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #17251.2 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #8618.3 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #16630.1 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #30540.3 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #13010.2 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #842.7 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #16851.5 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #16733.7 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #34233.5 |
Stanford offense vs Portland defense
| Stanford O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#204 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 51.7#165 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 15.5#107 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 32.3#114 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 35.7#162 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 9.4#180 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 46.3#311 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 50.4#246 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 35.6#85 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 73.1#166 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#86 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
Stanford
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | West Virginia51 | L 77–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Pittsburgh79 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NC State54 | W 85–84 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Notre Dame72 | W 86–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | SMU59 | W 95–75 |
