Model line
San Diego −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 84%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
San Diego home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes San Diego a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Colorado offense vs San Diego defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
