Model line
Santa Clara −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 64%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Santa Clara a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois St. offense vs Santa Clara defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
