Model line
UC San Diego −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC San Diego 55%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Neutral
45%Win probability55%
The model makes UC San Diego a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Seattle offense vs UC San Diego defense
| Seattle O | Stat | UC San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#165 | Tempo | #10869.7 |
| 49.3#280 | eFG% | #4848.4 |
| 17.0#204 | TOV% | #16916.8 |
| 24.3#346 | ORB% | #3927.0 |
| 34.7#193 | FT rate | #5029.3 |
| 9.3#168 | Block% | #2867.6 |
| 53.5#151 | Assist% | #29956.9 |
| 49.2#276 | 2P% | #7549.3 |
| 32.9#238 | 3P% | #5031.5 |
| 70.7#251 | FT% | — |
| 39.0#191 | 3PA rate | #4843.9 |
UC San Diego offense vs Seattle defense
| UC San Diego O | Stat | Seattle D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#108 | Tempo | #16568.7 |
| 52.6#123 | eFG% | #4148.1 |
| 16.5#168 | TOV% | #621.4 |
| 26.1#321 | ORB% | #24831.8 |
| 31.2#278 | FT rate | #11332.3 |
| 10.2#257 | Block% | #1414.0 |
| 55.5#102 | Assist% | #23254.2 |
| 55.0#59 | 2P% | #4448.2 |
| 32.8#241 | 3P% | #6532.0 |
| 69.3#291 | FT% | — |
| 42.3#130 | 3PA rate | #25037.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Seattle
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Auburn27 | L 85–91 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 67–52 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Pacific141 | L 58–61 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | San Diego157 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Marymount136 | W 71–66 |
UC San Diego
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 70–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cal Poly159 | W 72–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 64–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 71–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 80–64 |
