Model line
Santa Clara −4.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 67%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Santa Clara a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VCU offense vs Santa Clara defense
| VCU O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs VCU defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
