Model line
San Diego −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 87%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
San Diego home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes San Diego a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Riverside offense vs San Diego defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs UC Riverside defense
| San Diego O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
