Model line
Saint Mary's −19.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 98%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 19.9-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Portland St. offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Portland St. O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#148 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 50.6#210 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 16.9#194 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 30.0#202 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 37.1#127 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 7.4#25 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 51.2#212 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 51.5#193 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 32.6#252 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 71.0#238 | FT% | — |
| 34.4#288 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Portland St. defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Portland St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #14869.0 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #5948.8 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #9818.0 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #2426.4 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #33742.8 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #7311.3 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #19552.8 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #6449.0 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #8132.3 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #17339.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Portland St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Montana228 | L 72–75 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho St.327 | W 85–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Weber St.288 | W 84–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana228 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana St.134 | L 69–84 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
