Model line
Santa Clara −6.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 75%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Santa Clara a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico offense vs Santa Clara defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs New Mexico defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
