Model line
Pacific −13.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pacific 92%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Pacific home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Pacific a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Air Force offense vs Pacific defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Pacific offense vs Air Force defense
| Pacific O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
