Model line
Portland −14.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Portland 94%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Portland home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Portland a 14.5-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Portland defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Portland offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Portland O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
