Model line
San Diego −19.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 98%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
San Diego home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes San Diego a 19.3-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs San Diego defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs Chicago St. defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
