Model line
Saint Mary's −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 87%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois Chicago offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
