Model line
Troy −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 73%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Troy home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Troy a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Loyola Marymount offense vs Troy defense
| Loyola Marymount O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#195 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 51.8#156 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 17.5#235 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 26.7#305 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 31.1#279 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 7.3#21 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 49.3#258 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 51.6#189 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 34.8#129 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 69.5#281 | FT% | — |
| 40.4#162 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs Loyola Marymount defense
| Troy O | Stat | Loyola Marymount D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #19568.1 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #6448.9 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #18016.6 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #25732.0 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #11532.5 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #11910.4 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #14551.0 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #3247.2 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #22434.6 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #28236.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Loyola Marymount
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | San Diego157 | L 62–66 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Seattle115 | L 66–71 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Washington St.131 | W 67–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | San Diego157 | W 77–65 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | A | Pepperdine154 | L 89–90 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
