Model line
Santa Clara −17.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 97%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
4%Win probability97%
The model makes Santa Clara a 17.2-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sacramento St. offense vs Santa Clara defense
| Sacramento St. O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#22 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 47.0#338 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 14.1#27 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 25.2#336 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 41.2#43 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 8.5#103 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 48.9#268 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 46.6#338 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 31.9#284 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 78.1#16 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#257 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs Sacramento St. defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | Sacramento St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #2272.3 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #33155.0 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #14617.1 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #30633.4 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #21636.2 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #2727.8 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #31557.9 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #34056.8 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #26035.2 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #5043.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sacramento St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho238 | L 45–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Idaho St.327 | W 83–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana St.134 | L 61–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana228 | L 73–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Idaho238 | L 80–86 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
