Model line
San Diego −9.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 84%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
San Diego home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes San Diego a 9.4-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs San Diego defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
