Model line
Saint Mary's −16.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 96%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 16.8-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota St. offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
