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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC San Diego · #102 · BW · 0–0Cal St. Northridge · #190 · BW · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 8:00 PM ETPremier America Credit Union Arena · Northridge, CA
Model line
Cal St. Northridge −1.4
Win probability
Cal St. Northridge 56%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Cal St. Northridge home
44%Win probability56%

The model makes Cal St. Northridge a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC San Diego offense vs Cal St. Northridge defense

UC San Diego OStatCal St. Northridge D
69.7#108Tempo#375.3
52.6#123eFG%#19051.6
16.5#168TOV%#19116.4
26.1#321ORB%#2626.6
31.2#278FT rate#16034.3
10.2#257Block%#2098.7
55.5#102Assist%#31257.9
55.0#592P%#17551.7
32.8#2413P%#20934.4
69.3#291FT%—
42.3#1303PA rate#748.6

Cal St. Northridge offense vs UC San Diego defense

Cal St. Northridge OStatUC San Diego D
75.3#3Tempo#10869.7
51.3#181eFG%#4848.4
17.5#234TOV%#16916.8
31.9#127ORB%#3927.0
34.2#201FT rate#5029.3
10.1#244Block%#2867.6
56.6#75Assist%#29956.9
52.6#1442P%#7549.3
32.4#2583P%#5031.5
66.8#344FT%—
33.6#3073PA rate#4843.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC San Diego

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Northridge190L 70–80
Wed, Mar 11NCal Poly159W 72–69
Sat, Mar 7AUC Santa Barbara101W 64–63
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Fullerton213L 71–75
Sat, Feb 28HCal Poly159W 80–64

Cal St. Northridge

Fri, Mar 13NUC Irvine109L 78–93
Thu, Mar 12NUC San Diego102W 80–70
Sat, Mar 7HCal St. Fullerton213L 77–90
Thu, Mar 5ACal St. Bakersfield286W 86–84
Sat, Feb 28AUC Riverside223L 84–95