Model line
UC Irvine −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Irvine 69%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Cal St. Bakersfield home
69%Win probability31%
The model makes UC Irvine a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Irvine offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| UC Irvine O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#63 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 49.5#270 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 17.8#263 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 31.0#166 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 35.9#159 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 9.1#153 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 55.1#113 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 49.1#281 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 33.6#194 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 69.7#280 | FT% | — |
| 28.0#360 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs UC Irvine defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | UC Irvine D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #6370.8 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #1145.9 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #5918.8 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #21231.2 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #1926.7 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #1114.9 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #24954.8 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #143.1 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #16833.7 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #23638.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Irvine
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNLV89 | L 72–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Hawaii132 | L 64–71 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 93–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC Davis188 | W 79–69 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 107–85 |
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
